Quantum Computing: How Close Are We?

For a long time, quantum computing has fascinated those who study the future, whether they are engineers, physicists, or futurists. From materials science and logistics to encryption and drug development, quantum computers have the potential to transform several industries by solving complicated problems at an exponentially quicker rate than classical computers. Even while we’ve come a long way in the last decade, the big question is: Are we even close to tapping into quantum computing’s full potential? Widespread adoption of quantum computing is discussed in this article along with its foundations, present milestones, important obstacles, and reasonable timetables.

Gaining Familiarity with Quantum Computing


Quantum computing is based on processing data using the three main concepts of quantum mechanics: superposition, entanglement, and interference. Unlike classical bits, which can only exist as either 0 or 1, quantum bits (or qubits) can exist in the combination of both possible states simultaneously. When qubits are connected, their states are directly affected by each other, regardless of how far apart they are. These events allow quantum computers to simultaneously search large solution spaces, which could lead to significant speedups on specific types of problems.

The Importance of Quantum

Cybersecurity and Cryptography

Common encryption techniques (like RSA and ECC) are at danger of being cracked by quantum algorithms such as Shor’s algorithm. On the flip side, distributed quantum keys and quantum-resistant encryption provide the prospect of more secure communications.

Research into New Drugs and Materials

The unprecedented accuracy with which quantum simulations can mimic interactions between molecules has the ability to hasten the development of novel catalysts, battery materials, and medications

Learning from Optimisation and Machines

There may be revolutionary efficiency improvements in complex optimisation activities like supply-chain logistics, traffic flow management, and financial portfolio optimisation. Novel insights powered by data might be unlocked via quantum-enhanced machine learning.

Accomplishments Lately

In recent years, there have been notable accomplishments in both academia and industry

  • Volume of Quantum Bodies Expands
    On their 127-qubit Eagle processor in 2023, IBM’s “quantum volume” metric—which measures a system’s performance based on qubit count, connectivity, and error rates—reached 256, doubling virtually every year.
  • Strategies for Minimising Mistakes
    To increase the useful computational depth of noisy quantum technology, IT companies such as Google and Rigetti have created error mitigation algorithms.
  • Cloud Computing for Businesses
    Researchers and corporations may now access genuine quantum computers through major cloud providers like IBM Quantum, Amazon Braket, and Microsoft Azure Quantum. This allows for quick testing.
  • Claims of Quantum Dominance
    In 2019, Google claimed to have completed a work in 200 seconds that would have taken the fastest supercomputer in the world 10,000 years—though sceptics question the benchmark’s practicality.
  • Initial Proofs of Quantum Advantage
    Evidence of quantum advantage, in the form of speed or precision gains on particular tasks, has been documented, although so far it has only been on a small scale.

Major Obstacles to Confront

The technology of quantum computing still has significant obstacles that must be overcome until it can be used extensively, in spite of progress:

  1. The Accuracy and Reliability of Qubits
    The majority of modern qubits have gate error rates more than 0.1% and very low coherence times ranging from microseconds to milliseconds. When failure rates drop below 0.01% and active error correction is implemented, intolerant of faults quantum computers can be achieved. This, in turn, calls for hundreds, if not thousands, of physical qubits for every logical qubit.
  2. Connectivity and Scalability
    It is still an enormous technical challenge to construct systems with thousands or millions of linked qubits. Constructing dense, fully-connected qubit architectures free of crosstalk is a continuously evolving field of study.
  3. Refrigerated Facilities
    Bulky dilution refrigerators are necessary to house superconducting qubits, which necessitate extremely cold settings (<20 millikelvin). There are scaling limitations for other qubit technologies as well, such as photonic devices and trapped ions.
  4. Programs and Computer Code
    So far, the majority of quantum algorithms have focused on solving very specific issues. It is still early days in the effort to create universally applicable quantum algorithms as well as software stacks that combine quantum and classical computing.

Reasonable Schedules

Although forecasts differ, a consensus is developing on the sequential deployment of quantum technology:
The following 2-3 years
Small systems (50-200 qubits) continue to advance, and there have been some niche demonstrations of quantum advantage in areas such as optimisation and specialised chemistry.

  • 5-8 Years
    Move away from traditional approaches and towards error-corrected logical qubits; develop early fault-tolerant systems that can solve industry-relevant challenges.
  • 10-15 Years
    Enabling innovations in materials design, large-scale simulations, and cryptography, large-scale quantum computers are being widely deployed and incorporated into hybrid quantum-classical data centres.

Future-Ready for Quantum Technology

  • Businesses and academics may stay ahead of the curve by taking early steps today:
  • Raise Awareness About Quantum
  • Train engineers and scientists to use computations, technology, and cryptography that are secure against quantum attacks.
  • Test Out Different Cloud Platforms
  • Using cloud services, you can build and test quantum circuits on actual hardware, giving you practical experience with quantum technology. Work Together with Other Entities in the Ecosystem Collaborate on algorithm development and the identification of high-impact use cases with academic institutions, startups, and providers of quantum hardware.
  • Evaluate Hazards to Security
  • To protect encrypted data from potential quantum attacks in the future, start transitioning to post-quantum cryptography.

In summary

There is division between theoretical possibility and its practical implementation of quantum computing’s. Consistent improvements in qubit speed, error correction, and algorithm design are continuously pushing the frontier forward, even if current machines are still noisy and have scale limitations. A new age of scientific discovery and technical innovation is about to begin in the next decade as the first fault-tolerant quantum systems take on issues that classical supercomputers find intractable. One of the most fascinating frontiers in modern science is the long and difficult trip towards full-scale, general-purpose quantum computers. The prospective rewards, a quantum jump in our computational powers, are worth the effort

Leave a Comment